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the_hawk

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    Northern Ireland OWC

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  1. the_hawk

    Other groups

    I daresay we'd have made a much better fist of it. The 2nd seeds in our group are better than the top seeds in theirs FFS. We'd certainly have been a damn sight more entertaining, they are so hard to watch I almost feel sorry for them...well some of them any way.
  2. the_hawk

    Starting line up v Holland

    Yeah, I meant the head to head goal difference. The injury time goals in both games have put paid to any notions of squeaking in that way. Hopefully the players can take some heart from all the positives of this campaign & build momentum for the play offs. It'll take me a long time to get over that one. I'm still not over Switzerland FFS. I just hop the better at picking themselves up than I am!
  3. the_hawk

    Starting line up v Holland

    Had some heartbreaking moments watching Northern Ireland over the years. But that last 10 minutes I feel like I've had the heart ripped clean out of me. The most ridiculous thing is, that even if we beat the Netherlands & Germany away in our last 2 games (and I wouldn't put it past us), we still probably wouldn't qualify because of goal difference. That was such a gut punch.
  4. the_hawk

    Other groups

    28 teams in total back then...could do away with qualifiers completely!
  5. the_hawk

    Other groups

    The more complicated a qualification procedure, the greater likelihood of anomalies like the above happening. Basically there are 55 teams in UEFA, just have a straight 6 round knock out tournament every other summer (9 teams get a bye in the 1st round) problem solved. Imagine the stickerbooks for that!
  6. the_hawk

    Other groups

    It'd probably be "they didn't win the games that matter" 😉 Seriously though, if I'm right in my thinking...it's possible for a team to be holders of the trophy, win all 4 Nations League games, win the Nations league semi & final, win 8 out of 10 of their qualifiers but finish 3rd, win both their play off semis, then draw the play off final & lose on penalties and therefore not qualify after a record of Played 19, Won 16, Drew 1, Lost 2. Meanwhile it's possible for the team that beat them to have lost all four Nations league games, Lost all 10 qualifiers, Won only one of their play off semis...Qualifying with a record of Played 17, Won 1, Drew 1, Lost 15!!
  7. the_hawk

    Other groups

    This site... http://www.football-rankings.info/2019/09/2020-uefa-euro-qualification-10000.html?m=1 After running 10,000 simulations is predicting a play off line up of Us v Bosnia-hertz & ROI v Wales. A play off final between us & ROI for the Euros would be unbearable!
  8. the_hawk

    Other groups

    Brilliant work, cheers. As we were the better team against Bosnia - Herzegovina in the Nations league & against Wales in Euro 2016 a wee bit of revenge against both would do nicely. That is potentially one seriously wick like up of teams in Group A
  9. the_hawk

    Score Prediction v Germany

    Well the last 3 games against Germany they've scored 1, 2 and 3 goals against us. I'm going for a 5-4 win
  10. the_hawk

    Germany or Holland Result

    Sadly as the Netherlands beat Germany, it means tonight's game isn't an Unofficial World Cup title match. https://www.ufwc.co.uk/
  11. the_hawk

    Score Prediction v Belarus

    I will take ANY kind of win...ANY. Nerves starting to kick in.
  12. the_hawk

    Math thread (Tallin)

    They're on iPlayer there now... https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0005z0t
  13. the_hawk

    Math thread (Tallin)

    Agreed. We were always up against it when the draw was made, but the way the fixtures have fallen has given us a chance of at least keeping it interesting right up to the end. I don't know why I'm so buzzing about the score last night, it's right up there with the feeling I've had after a lot of our famous results over the years. Maybe it was the manner of the win, we were so so poor 1st half & we were looking at the qualifiers being as good as over...but the way we played in the last 20 minutes changed everything & we're right back in the mixer. 3 points on Tuesday night and we go into the summer break top of the group, at the halfway point , on maximum points with Germany to play Netherlands before we take on the Germans under the light at Windsor! Anyway, what was I saying...oh yes, 3 points or bust. I predict 2-0 to Belarus.
  14. the_hawk

    Euro 2020 Qualifying Draw

    Looking at this analysis http://www.football-rankings.info/2019/03/2020-uefa-euro-qualification-10000.html?m=1 They fancy us to qualify for the play offs, where they reckon we'll play Austria & ROI would play Slovakia. If that were to happen & us & ROI were both to win, we'd end up playing each other in the play off final. Doesn't bear thinking about. Let's just beat Germany and the Dutch.
  15. the_hawk

    Other groups

    There's no easy games in international football these days. Except the Republic of Ireland obviously.
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